Context: Two Australian weather agencies recently forecasted the potential re-emergence of the Positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), or Indian Nino, for the second consecutive year in the latter half of 2024.
Indian Ocean Dipole
About: It sometimes dubbed as the "Indian Nino," occurs in the Indian Ocean between the Indonesian and Malaysian coastline in the east and the African coastline near Somalia in the west.
Discovery and Recognition: The Indian Ocean Dipole was independently identified as a distinct climatic phenomenon in 1999.
Positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD): It is characterized by cooler than normal sea-surface temperatures (SST) in the eastern equatorial Indian Ocean and warmer than normal SSTs in the western tropical Indian Ocean.
Negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD): It displays warmer than normal SSTs in the eastern equatorial Indian Ocean and cooler than normal SSTs in the western tropical Indian Ocean.
Relationship with El Nino and La Nina: A positive IOD often coincides with El Nino, while a negative IOD is sometimes associated with La Nina.
Impact: Positive IOD events enhance rainfall along the African coastline and the Indian sub-continent but suppress rainfall over Indonesia, southeast Asia, and Australia. Conversely, the impacts reverse during negative IOD events.