An Estimate Of A Big Formal Shift That Stretches Credulity Too Far

Livemint     17th November 2021     Save    
QEP Pocket Notes

Context: Bold claims of formalization do not stand chance pertaining to data on the ground.

Issues associated with formalization of Indian economy

  • Not proper definition of informal economic activity: As it is difficult to define informal.
  • Lack of credible data due to improper source of information: Source of information on formalization is based on various researches instead of Labour force surveys.
  • Methodological defect: Registrations at E-Shram portal used by SBI research to point out high degree of formalization without any substantial basis. As question arises
    • Are all the 57 million workers who have registered on the E-Shram getting the benefits of social-sector schemes?
  • Data mismatch: SBI research points out data from Kisan Credit Card (KCC) usage to show formalization of agriculture. But Report of the Internal Working Group to Review Agricultural Credit pointed out that“
    • Approximately 30% of agricultural households still avail credit from non-institutional sources.
    • In Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Kerala and Karnataka, 71% of the crop loans are disbursed outside of KCC.
  • Low-capacity utilization of formal sector: In this scenario, increasing formalization could possibly mean the destruction of informal jobs.
  • Formal enterprises can employ informal workers: Real Estate Company outsource the actual building of an apartment block to a contractor, which then informally hires workers by the day.
  • Considering gig workers considered as part of the formal economy even if their incomes aren’t protected if the business is negatively impacted.
  • Disruptions due to pandemic: Due to replacement of demonetized money, cash in the system went up again after pandemic.
  • Due to recovery of economy, informal enterprises may start springing up: As ILO document titled Measuring Informality points out: “There is a high birth and death rate among informal sector units." 
  • Trouble in informal sectors: Businesses in the informal sector have been destroyed by pandemic disruptions putting burden on formal sector.
    • As Work demanded under the Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Scheme through this financial year has been almost similar to what was demanded last year.

      Conclusion: There is no denying that India’s informal economy has shrunk since covid began. But that doesn’t mean that its size has contracted from 52% to 15-20% and reached European levels, as the SBI report suggests.

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      QEP Pocket Notes