A Tectonic Shift in Thinking to Build Seismic Resilience

The 4.4 magnitude Delhi earthquake on July 10, 2025, has raised alarms over India’s seismic vulnerability, poor enforcement of safety codes, and unprepared urban spaces. Urgent reforms in building norms, retrofitting, and public awareness are critical.

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Context

  • The editorial discusses a 4.4 magnitude earthquake that struck Delhi on July 10, 2025. Though moderate, it has reignited concerns about India's seismic vulnerability due to its location on a tectonically active plate and poor compliance with seismic codes in major urban centres like Delhi. 

Background

  • India lies on the seismically active Indian Plate, which is colliding with the Eurasian Plate at 4-5 cm/year, giving rise to the Himalayan seismic belt. 
  • Delhi, located in Seismic Zone IV, recently experienced a 4.4 magnitude quake on July 10, 2025, with an epicentre 20 km southwest of the city.
  • Over 80% of Delhi's buildings, especially pre-2000, do not comply with the IS 1893:2016 seismic code.

India's Earthquake Preparedness 

  • National Centre for Seismology (NCS): Operates under the Ministry of Earth Sciences; monitors seismic activity through 115 observatories and shares realtime data with disaster management authorities.
  • National Mitigation Centrally Earthquake Project sponsored Risk (NERMP): NDMA scheme in seismic zones IV & V; focuses on enforcing techno-legal regimes, institutional strengthening, and public awareness. 
  • Earthquake-Resistant Building Codes: Guidelines from BIS, ВМТРС, and HUDCO ensure adoption of resilient construction practices, circulated widely among stakeholders. 
  • Earthquake Disaster Risk Index: NDMA-developed index assesses risk in high-seismic zones (IV & V), guiding cities in disaster planning and mitigation strategies.

Challenges Highlighted 

  • High Vulnerability: Delhi houses 33.5 million residents and over 5,000 high-rises, most of which are non-compliant with seismic norms. Areas like East Delhi have liquefaction-prone soils, increasing collapse risk.
  • Unprepared Urban Spaces: Rapid, unregulated urbanisation, especially in high-risk zones (Zone IV & V), exacerbates seismic risks. 
  • Poor Code Enforcement: IS 1893:2016 is not enforced properly across cities. Even critical areas like Guwahati and Bhuj face enforcement gaps. 
  • Limited Public Awareness and Early Warning Usage: Tools like IndiaQuake app exist, but public awareness and integration with emergency systems remain weak.
  • Himalayan Seismic Gap: The region is overdue for a "Great Himalayan Earthquake" (>8 magnitude), with potential impacts on 300+ million people in India, Nepal, and Bhutan.

Way Forward

  • Rigorous Enforcement of Seismic Codes: Strengthen implementation of IS 1893:2016 in all seismic zones, particularly in Zones IV and V.
  • Retrofitting & Resilient Construction: Retrofit older buildings using steel jacketing. 
  • - Mandate deep pile foundations and base isolation in vulnerable areas. 
  • - Avoid construction in floodplains like the Brahmaputra basin. 
  • Public Awareness & Community Preparedness: Launch public education campaigns on emergency kits, evacuation drills, and safe construction.
  • Institutional Reforms & Investments: Annual retrofitting investment of 50,000 crore is needed and train community-level disaster response teams.
  • National Dialogue & Leadership: Government must initiate a national discourse and strategy for seismic resilience and disaster risk reduction. 
  • Global Best Practices: Emulate Bangkok's high-strength concrete standards and ductile detailing, and avoid Myanmar's mistakes of weak code enforcement.


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