Context: The recent announcement by President Trump over the expansion of the G7 increases credibility of and opportunities for India.
Reasons for Expansion
Rejuvenating the organisation: The G7 is considered ‘outdated’ and does not represent the world, given the realignments of the global economic powers.
Anti-Chinese Platform: Exclusion of China with 15% of the global GDP and inclusion of Russia even after non-resolution of Crimean annexation signals towards isolating China in the global platforms.
Opportunities for India: in terms of exchange of views over issues that are of considerable importance to India.
Recognition of India’s role in the post-pandemic world order. India has already surpassed Italy in terms of GDP showcasing its potential.
Implications of India’s Membership:
Provoking China: Rising tensions between India and China due to border skirmishes along LAC and scrutinizing investment for China through FDI policy changes.
Not a precedent setting move: G11 won’t be the only grouping which involves India and excludes China
e.g. Indian Ocean Rim Association for Regional Cooperation and Quad grouping. Therefore, this move should not be seen as retaliation against China.
Skewed India-China ties: The relationship between Indian and China is favorable to China, which demands the hedging of India’s strategic interests by the use of global platforms.
Way Forward:
India cannot expect long-term gains if it is included in this comity of nations solely for the purpose of isolating China.
It should serve India’s geo-strategic interests and within the dynamic of the short- and long-term India-China relationship.